Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.920170 1.075248 1.248219 1.455438 1.696971 1.969667 2.301029
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.666796 0.870710 1.124166 1.462348 1.901981 2.454573 3.202801
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.523853 0.740419 1.031187 1.450120 2.038736 2.837307 4.005221
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.431342 0.650188 0.963014 1.442748 2.160703 3.197028 4.810532
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.369774 0.589246 0.920404 1.456373 2.303399 3.593193 5.712789
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.308358 0.516425 0.845926 1.405548 2.334086 3.817194 6.375021
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.288401 0.505361 0.864396 1.501519 2.606529 4.449876 7.771697
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.247599 0.452472 0.805623 1.458338 2.637874 4.686419 8.531472
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.212898 0.404651 0.748045 1.407365 2.645517 4.878395 9.232160
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.184989 0.364876 0.698823 1.363444 2.657591 5.075757 9.963150
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.169976 0.347237 0.687706 1.388739 2.801402 5.531154 11.238979
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.164748 0.347978 0.711497 1.484588 3.094082 6.305051 13.239534
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.153789 0.336002 0.709556 1.530446 3.296820 6.936514 15.058303
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.140317 0.316894 0.690706 1.538949 3.424154 7.433553 16.671555
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.126753 0.295509 0.663949 1.526155 3.502778 7.836152 18.132316
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.115259 0.277079 0.641030 1.518402 3.590853 8.269151 19.719118
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.106667 0.264129 0.628587 1.532740 3.731011 8.835405 21.690700
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094611 0.241117 0.589798 1.479255 3.703312 9.011122 22.755335
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093177 0.244137 0.613194 1.580247 4.064543 10.152033 26.342678
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.083571 0.224995 0.579945 1.534807 4.053524 10.386908 27.678621
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.074629 0.206309 0.545374 1.481167 4.014007 10.545215 28.837908
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.067034 0.190153 0.515189 1.434948 3.987695 10.733656 30.103625
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.063438 0.184523 0.512035 1.461567 4.162047 11.470476 32.968763